Bitcoin is about to halve its rewards soon and the crypto community is speculating about what will happen. After the two first halvings, which occurred in 2012 and 2016, another one is being expected for 2020. Both times that the rewards were halved before marked the beginning of a bull run that took the network to new highs.
Last week, several miners reunited at the World Digital Mining Summit, which was organized by Bitmain in Frankfurt. During the event, the co-founder of Bitmain, Jihan Wu, seemed pessimistic about the halving.
Wu pointed to Litecoin, which had it’s rewards halved some weeks ago. The price of the asset went down, not up. Litecoin’s price went from $31 to $135 USD during the year and then fell again to $57 USD after the halving. Could something similar happen to Bitcoin?
He also affirmed that people didn’t know what to expect during the first and second halving, but now people are betting that the price will go up. If it does not, there is a big possibility that the market sentiment may turn sour.
Another reason why this might be bad news, is that several ASIC miners will not be profitable to use anymore. The Antminer S9, for instance, was a very popular model, but it is barely able to make a profit now, so after the halving, the situation might become worse.
Marco Streng, the CEO of Genesis Mining, affirmed that only the strongest miners will remain. Retail miners are very likely to be pushed outside of the market and only the major mining companies will still be competitive unless prices go up as expected.
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