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Bitfinex Debacle Aside, Bitcoin (BTC) May Shoot To $6,000 Due To Historical Trend

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Analysts Keep Their Bullish Tone On Bitcoin

A number of analysts have become disconcerted as a result of the news that Bitfinex and Tether could be on thin ice, but some have aimed to stay level-headed, looking to technicals and trends to determine where Bitcoin (BTC) could head next. Per a recent analysis from Murad Mahmudov, the chief investment officer at up-and-coming cryptocurrency fund Adaptive Capital, BTC may be poised to move higher in the near future.

As he depicts on the above chart, Bitfinex’s current long-to-short position ratio, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading on the ratio, and the BitMEX funding and premium trends are looking bullish. Mahmudov looks to the fact that when the three aforementioned trends looked as they did historically, what followed was a rally in the Bitcoin price. These moves higher were inconsistent, with some of these cases only resulting in 5% gains, but historical precedent is set for BTC to move higher from here. The Adaptive Capital representative himself didn’t convey an explicit prediction, but he did draw an arrow to $6,400, a level which analysts believe will irk Bitcoin.

Further backing his call, Mahmudov noted that “the essence of investing & trading is the intelligent and patient preying on the greed, fear, impatience, addiction and ignorance of the majority.” The reason why is relevant is that the aforementioned stats indicate that the majority of traders believe that BTC is about to head lower.

Mahmudov isn’t the only analyst bullish as of the time of writing this. Per analysis from The Crypto Monk, a well-followed trader, the dust from the recent Tether and Bitfinex imbroglio have settled, and somehow, Bitcoin’s chart structure still is “looking good for bulls.” Monk didn’t give much reasoning for this point, but the chart attached to his message did depict that BTC has held above $4.800, a key level of support as it’s where the 200-day moving average is sitting.

Fundamentals are also looking overwhelmingly bullish for cryptocurrencies. As analyst Alex Kruger noted, both TD Ameritrade and E*Trade, two retail brokerage giants based in America, moving into the crypto market by offering spot trading would “likely be bigger than any Tether bearish developments.” For those who missed the memo, the commentator is referring to rumors that the two aforementioned identities will soon offer direct cryptocurrency trading to their millions of users. As Bloomberg and The New York Times’ Nathaniel Popper explain, a source familiar with the matter claims that just after TD Ameritrade began to test digital assets, E*Trade is preparing to launch support for Bitcoin and Ethereum, but is still waiting on a custodial third party.

Title Image Courtesy of Dmitry Moraine Via Unsplash

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Binance Coin Price Prediction: Long-term (BNB) Value Forecast – May 19

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  • BNB/USD trade has been on a slow and steady upswing over time until now.
  • The BNB/USD market may experience a line of variant correction around $32 and $28 price points, and that could result in range market movements.

BNB/USD Long-term Trend – Bullish

  • Distribution territories: $40, $42, $46
  • Accumulation territories: $16, $12, $8

Binance Coin market has been on a slow and steady increase as paired with the US dollar price valuation. On May 9, the crypto-trade declined slightly past the trend-line of the 50-day SMA indicator to record a low point around $20 mark.

On the succeeding trading day, May 10, the crypto notably made a weak come-back, and that has now featured as its actual turning point for its current visible upswing in the market to touch a high mark at $32 over the 14-day SMA’s trend-line. The 50-day SMA is situated underneath the 14-day SMA with a small space between them. The Stochastic Oscillators are now seemingly attempting to close hairs around range 80.

Observantly, the BNB/USD trade has been swinging upward mostly at the touch of its 14-day SMA’s trend-line from the top. Equally, The BNB/USD market may experience a line of variant correction around $32 and $28 price points, and that could give in to seeing other range market movements around those trading zones.

The views and opinions expressed here do not reflect that of BitcoinExchangeGuide.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Surges $800 Back To $8K – A New 2019 High Soon?

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Corrections are part of the game. Two days ago, when publishing our recent analysis, we saw Bitcoin correcting violently down, even touching $6300 on some exchanges. This was anticipated following the surge from $5000 that went only in one direction.

If someone is looking for strength in the BTC market, he would definitely find it at recent hours’ Bitcoin behavior. The volatile coin had gone through a fabulous $800 bullish run, and now testing $8000 again.

Lastly, and not for the first time, this is for sure Bitcoin’s favorite TV show:

btc_bart_may19_v-min

Total Market Cap: $249 Billion

Bitcoin Market Cap: $140.9 Billion

BTC Dominance: 56.6%

Looking at the 1-day & 4-hour charts

– Support/Resistance:
From above, Bitcoin is now facing the $8000 resistance again. If Bitcoin succeeds in breaking, we would expect a retest of $8200 and 2019 high at $8400. Breaking up and $8500, $8800 and $9000 will become the next targets for the cryptocurrency.

From below, after the $7000 and $7250 – $7300 had proven to be strong support area, from below there is also the $7800 and $7600 support levels before reaching to the mentioned area.

– Trading Volume: The recent days had seen very high volume (and high volatility). The daily volume levels are starting to look like December 2018 numbers.

– Daily chart’s RSI: The RSI had also encountered a resistance zone of 70 – 73. However, a bullish sign might be coming from the Stochastic RSI oscillator. The last is moving toward a crossover in the oversold area; this can fuel up the market and assist in breaking up the $8000.

– BitFinex open short positions: Following the severe 40% drop of the short positions and the long squeeze, the shorts are slowly climbing and now stand on 17.6K BTC open short positions.

BTC/USD BitStamp 4-Hour Chart

btc_may19_4h-min

BTC/USD BitStamp 1-Day Chart

btc_may19_d-min

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Surges $800 Back To $8K – A New 2019 High Soon?

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Corrections are part of the game. Two days ago, when publishing our recent analysis, we saw Bitcoin correcting violently down, even touching $6300 on some exchanges. This was anticipated following the surge from $5000 that went only in one direction.

If someone is looking for strength in the BTC market, he would definitely find it at recent hours’ Bitcoin behavior. The volatile coin had gone through a fabulous $800 bullish run, and now testing $8000 again.

Lastly, and not for the first time, this is for sure Bitcoin’s favorite TV show:

btc_bart_may19_v-min

Total Market Cap: $249 Billion

Bitcoin Market Cap: $140.9 Billion

BTC Dominance: 56.6%

Looking at the 1-day & 4-hour charts

– Support/Resistance:
From above, Bitcoin is now facing the $8000 resistance again. If Bitcoin succeeds in breaking, we would expect a retest of $8200 and 2019 high at $8400. Breaking up and $8500, $8800 and $9000 will become the next targets for the cryptocurrency.

From below, after the $7000 and $7250 – $7300 had proven to be strong support area, from below there is also the $7800 and $7600 support levels before reaching to the mentioned area.

– Trading Volume: The recent days had seen very high volume (and high volatility). The daily volume levels are starting to look like December 2018 numbers.

– Daily chart’s RSI: The RSI had also encountered a resistance zone of 70 – 73. However, a bullish sign might be coming from the Stochastic RSI oscillator. The last is moving toward a crossover in the oversold area; this can fuel up the market and assist in breaking up the $8000.

– BitFinex open short positions: Following the severe 40% drop of the short positions and the long squeeze, the shorts are slowly climbing and now stand on 17.6K BTC open short positions.

BTC/USD BitStamp 4-Hour Chart

btc_may19_4h-min

BTC/USD BitStamp 1-Day Chart

btc_may19_d-min

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Meteoric Crypto Recovery: Here’s What Triggered Bitcoin Price Above $8,000

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By CCN: The bitcoin price has surged by seven percent in the past several hours from $7,300 to around $8,000 in major markets including the U.S., demonstrating a strong recovery from its abrupt drop to $6,400.

The bitcoin price surges seven percent

The bitcoin price surges seven percent in less than four hours (source: coinmarketcap.com)

On May 17, as CCN reported, the bitcoin price briefly plunged to $6,400 by more than 18 percent against the U.S. dollar.

Market eating up an 18% bitcoin drop quickly is a sign of positive sentiment

Analysts including Dovey Wan, a founding partner at Primitive, stated that the brief price drop of bitcoin on Friday was likely due to manipulation engaged by a single investor.

As the investor sold 5,000 BTC on Bitstamp, it triggered contracts on BitMEX, which heavily relies on Bitstamp, to get liquidated.

Since dropping to $6,400, in less than two days, the bitcoin price has recovered to $8,000, by more than 25 percent within a 48-hour span.

The immediate absorption of the $13 billion decline in the market capitalization of bitcoin demonstrates the significant improvement in the sentiment around the cryptocurrency market.

Speaking to CCN on May 13, a cryptocurrency trader with an online alias “Satoshi Flipper” said that bitcoin is likely to face healthy retracement in the near-term coming off of a rally from $5,000 to $8,000.

But, the trader emphasized that once the retracement occurs, the dominant cryptocurrency is on track to sustain its momentum over the medium to long-term considering the momentum of the market in recent weeks.

The trader said:

I’ve been definitely vocal about a healthy BTC retrace, but I do not believe it will be a drastic 30% retrace back into the $4k’s. Once we form a local top, I believe we will 10% at the most, then settle down sideways.

That is when we’ll have a real altcoin season that everyone is expecting. Upon the immediate retrace, altcoins will take a small hit, but then when BTC settles down sideways, altcoins will rebound in a huge way.

Similarly, in an exclusive interview with CCN, Three Arrows Capital CEO Su Zhu stated that the brief fall of bitcoin to $6,400, which led investors to be cautious about the short-term trend of the asset, is unlikely to lead to a full-blown retracement.

“This is a purely market structure related move, I expect it to be bought up extremely quickly,” Zhu said.

As suggested by some investors, the market quickly absorbed the abrupt decline in the bitcoin price on May 17 and with volumes across the board on the rise, the momentum of the asset is expected to be sustained.

The real 10 volume of bitcoin, which estimates the legitimate volume of the asset using the methodology created by Bitwise Asset Management, hovers at around $1 billion. In comparison, in March, the real 10 volume of bitcoin was at $270 million.

What catalysts are on the horizon?

According to Josh Rager, a cryptocurrency technical analyst, if bitcoin finds stability over the $8,200 level, the $9,000 region could be considered a reasonable target in the near-term.

“Bitcoin certainly looks to be pumping, now over previous resistance Price is near $8,000 & looks to be heading toward the $8,200 1D resistance (might consolidate prior) A close above $8,200 on the daily/weekly would be very bullish and would target $9,600+,” said Rager.

With the block reward halving expected to occur in May 2020, which historically has been a fundamental catalyst for bitcoin, and the custodial infrastructure supporting the asset class noticeably improving, the sentiment around the market may continue to progress in the upcoming weeks.

Click here for a real-time bitcoin price chart.

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MONERO Price Prediction: Long-term (XMR) Value Forecast – May 19

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Monero Schedules XMR Protocol Upgrade for October 18 in v0.13 Hard Fork

Monero Schedules XMR Protocol Upgrade for October 18 in v0.13 Hard Fork

  • The long-term outlook remains in the uptrend.
  • The two EMAs are strong support for bullish continuation with $120.00 on the card.

XMR/USD Long-term Trend: Bullish

Supply zone: $140.00, $180.00, $220.00
Demand zone: $40.00, $20.00, $10.00

XMR remains in a bullish trend in its long-term outlook. After breaking the upper supply area of the range the bulls have sustained the momentum up north. On May 16th May, the cryptocurrency was up at $97.00 in the supply area the first time since 12th November 2019.

While price was above the two EMAs in the daily chart on 16th May, It was a breakout at the 50-EMA in the weekly chart an indication of a possible rally in the long-term.

The market correction was necessary hence the drawdown to $77.51 in the demand area on 17th May with the rejection of further downward movement by the 10-EMA. This confirms the bullish continuation.

The new trading week began on a bullish note with price at $79.90 at the opening and currently up at $86.96 in the supply area an indication of more buying positions are been taken by traders

$120.00 in the supply area is on the horizon as the bulls kept pressure strong.

The views and opinion as expressed here do not reflect that of BitcoinExchangeGuide.com and do not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research.

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